Match Replay

Step 40 of 53. Current minute: 66 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	3	4	3	-	3.8	2.2	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	-	2.15	1.7	1.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4	13	1.04	1.22	3	-	-	1.52	2.42	3.5	1.3	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.5% | ROI +0.1% | n=365 | k=1.70

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -5.5% | ROI -2.3% | n=365 | k=2.42

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.4% | EV -7.5% | ROI -5.0% | n=365 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -3.3% | ROI +4.7% | n=365 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 66th minute, Heidenheim leads St Pauli 1-0 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 38% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from one side, and while Heidenheim holds the lead, the overall game balance appears even. Historical data for similar situations suggests a slight edge for the away handicap +1 bet, but the model's expected value is negative and below the threshold for a confident bet. The top markets recommend no bet at this stage, indicating this is a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry opportunity. Caution is advised given the mixed signals and moderate historical ROI.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 66