Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	3.9	2.2	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	-	2.15	1.7	1.24

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.33	4	13	1.04	1.22	3.25	-	-	1.57	2.35	4	1.25	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.8% | ROI -0.1% | n=357 | k=1.70

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.9% | ROI -0.6% | n=357 | k=2.35

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.5% | ROI -4.4% | n=357 | k=3.25

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.8% | EV -8.4% | ROI -4.5% | n=357 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 68th minute, Heidenheim leads St Pauli 1-0 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side with odds dropping 39% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not confirm clear dominance. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team, and while Heidenheim holds the lead, the overall game balance remains even. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a profitable bet on double chance X2, with a negative ROI of -4.4%. The model suggests a slight edge for X2 but it is below the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets also indicate no value bets currently, so this is a monitoring situation rather than a recommended entry. Caution is advised given the lack of clear advantage and historical performance.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 68