Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	1.17	2.2	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	11	2	9	5	-	-	-	2.15	1.7	5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	101	1	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	2.8	1.45	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.5% | EV +87.0% | ROI -6.3% | n=275 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.1% | ROI +0.4% | n=275 | k=5.00

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.0% | ROI -1.9% | n=275 | k=1.45

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -9.2% | ROI -28.0% | n=275 | k=2.80

AI-agent: At the 80th minute, Heidenheim leads St Pauli 2-0 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side with a significant drop in odds from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. The game tempo is balanced without sustained pressure recently, and although Heidenheim leads, their performance is below their usual level while St Pauli shows more activity than in their last meeting. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Heidenheim is weak and shows a negative ROI, so despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value at odds of 2.20, the entry rule is not confirmed. The top markets suggest watching the -1 handicap on Heidenheim rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing this as a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 80