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Germany | Bundesliga | Heidenheim - St Pauli | 25.04.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 36'   —   Heidenheim 1:0 St Pauli
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 4 2 2 1 - 3 2.1 1.68 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 1 2 2 - - - 2.15 1.7 1.38
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.53 3.75 6.5 1.11 1.25 2.38 - - 1.17 5 1.75 2.05 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.9% | ROI -2.7% | n=497 | k=1.70
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.7% | ROI -3.9% | n=497 | k=2.05
3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.6% | EV -6.1% | ROI -3.9% | n=497 | k=2.38
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.2% | ROI -2.6% | n=497 | k=1.33
AI-agent: At 36 minutes with Heidenheim leading 1-0, the market favors the home side, reflected by a 30% drop in odds since pre-match. The match has been fairly balanced, with Heidenheim showing more activity in shots, though no sustained pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a bet, showing a low ROI and a failed check. The model suggests a potential value on St Pauli to win at high odds, but the edge is below the threshold for opening a bet. Top-4 markets also advise against betting, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity. Caution is advised given the current tempo and historical uncertainty.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 36