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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	3	2.2	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	-	-	2.15	1.65	1.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	3.75	6.5	1.11	1.25	2.38	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.9	1.95	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.6% | ROI -2.3% | n=498 | k=1.38

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.0% | ROI -0.9% | n=498 | k=1.95

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.0% | EV -1.7% | ROI -2.3% | n=498 | k=1.65

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.6% | EV -6.1% | ROI -2.7% | n=498 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 40 minutes, Heidenheim leads 1-0 against St Pauli in a closely contested Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 30% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and match dynamics. Although the guests have pressed strongly recently, the overall tempo is slower than their last encounter, which ended 2-1. Historical data is weak and does not support a bet on the away win despite a slight model edge and positive expected value. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away team with a +1.5 handicap but advise against placing a bet now due to insufficient confirmation and negative ROI. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 40