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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	3	2.2	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	1	5	3	-	-	-	2.15	1.65	1.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	3.75	7	1.1	1.25	2.38	-	-	1.25	4	2.1	1.77	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.2% | EV +4.5% | ROI +0.4% | n=467 | k=1.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.9% | ROI -0.7% | n=467 | k=1.65

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.4% | ROI +1.5% | n=467 | k=1.77

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.3% | EV -7.9% | ROI -3.9% | n=467 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At halftime with Heidenheim leading 1-0, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 30% drop in odds from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent play shows pressure from St Pauli. Historical data supports a +1.5 Asian Handicap on the away team with a 73% win rate and positive ROI, confirmed by the model with an edge of +3.2% and EV of +4.5%. Although this position is already held or covered in the portfolio, this remains the best value bet currently. Other markets suggest monitoring rather than new entries, so this is a situation to watch carefully rather than aggressively bet now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 45