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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	4.5	2.15	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	-	2.15	1.73	1.19

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	4.33	26	1.01	1.2	3.75	-	-	2	1.85	7	1.1	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.2% | ROI +2.6% | n=312 | k=1.73

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.4% | EV +5.4% | ROI -0.2% | n=312 | k=3.75

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -4.6% | ROI -1.9% | n=312 | k=2.00

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -3.2% | ROI -5.7% | n=312 | k=1.85

AI-agent: At 74 minutes with Heidenheim leading 1-0, the market is favoring the home side as the odds have dropped significantly from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent play shows no sustained pressure from one side. Historically, the away handicap +1 has a positive edge with a 61.5% success rate and a modest ROI of 2.6%, confirmed by a solid sample of 312 matches. The model suggests a potential value bet on AH_AWAY+1 with an edge of +1.9% and EV of +3.2%, but this is below the minimum threshold to open a position. Top-4 markets recommend watching this handicap and the double chance on the away team, but no mandatory bets currently. This is a monitoring situation where risk control is important before committing funds.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 74