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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	-	2.67	2.05	1.68	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.15	1.8	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.57	4	5.5	1.14	1.22	2.25	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.8% | ROI -1.5% | n=338 | k=3.20

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +1.7% | EV +9.5% | ROI -10.5% | n=338 | k=5.50

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.2% | ROI -1.4% | n=338 | k=1.73

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.6% | EV -3.3% | ROI +0.9% | n=338 | k=2.05

AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the match, Heidenheim leads 1-0 against St Pauli with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 29% drop in odds from pre-match levels, matching the active shot count and tempo advantage for Heidenheim. However, historical data shows a weak and unconfirmed edge for an away win, with a negative ROI of -10.5%. The model suggests a potential value bet on St Pauli to win with an edge of +1.7%, but this is below the minimum threshold to open a position. The top markets recommend watching under 2.5 goals and the away win, but no firm bets yet. This is a monitoring situation where caution is advised due to limited historical support and moderate model confidence.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388582 | minute: 12