Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.55	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.38	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	4	1.83	1.83	1.22	1.25	1.01	21	1.11	6.5	1.4	3	2	1.85

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +7.2% | EV +25.9% | ROI +57.7% | n=105 | k=3.60

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +4.8% | EV +8.7% | ROI +15.2% | n=105 | k=1.83

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.1% | ROI +11.7% | n=105 | k=1.55

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -1.9% | ROI +2.7% | n=105 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 5 minutes into the Mainz vs Bayern Munich match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. The market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced pressure without clear dominance in shots or tempo. Historical data from 105 similar matches suggests a 43.8% chance for a home win with a fair odds value of 2.28 and a positive ROI of 57.7%. The model favors a Mainz win with an edge of +7.2% and expected value of +25.9%, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets recommend watching the home win and double chance (1X) options for potential value, while Asian handicap and over 2.5 goals are not advised now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity, so risk control is essential.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388583 | minute: 5