Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	14	8	6	2	-	2	1.4	2.75	1.57	-
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	-	2.35	1.43	2.85	1.85

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	6	12	1.04	1.12	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.4% | EV +44.7% | ROI +57.5% | n=2 | k=1.57

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.4% | EV -4.4% | ROI +85.0% | n=2 | k=1.85

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.7% | EV -3.3% | ROI -100.0% | n=2 | k=2.00

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.3% | EV -1.9% | ROI -50.0% | n=2 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 67 minutes in the Mainz vs Bayern Munich Bundesliga match, Mainz leads 3-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Mainz, with odds dropping 67% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current advantage in shots despite Bayern being pre-match favorites. The recent phase shows Bayern pressing hard, but Mainz remains more active than in their last meeting, where the score was 1-0 at this minute and ended 2-2. Historical data for Asian Handicap Mainz +1 is limited and weak, with only two matches but a 100% win rate and positive ROI. The model suggests a strong edge (+28.4%) and expected value (+44.7%) on Mainz +1 at 1.57 odds, but the entry conditions are not met yet due to current score and match tempo. This is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution and risk control are advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388583 | minute: 67