Match Replay

Step 46 of 54. Current minute: 79 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	8	8	2	-	1.75	3.3	2.75	1.57	-
Away	2	0	0	9	4	5	3	-	-	2.35	1.43	1.32	2.12

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	3.25	8.5	1.07	1.33	2.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +46.3% | EV +98.4% | ROI +112.5% | n=4 | k=2.12

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.5% | EV +44.9% | ROI +57.5% | n=4 | k=1.57

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.8% | EV +10.3% | ROI +8.1% | n=4 | k=1.32

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.7% | ROI -0.0% | n=4 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At 79 minutes, Mainz leads Bayern Munich 3-2 in a live Bundesliga match. Market pressure is shifting towards Bayern, with the odds for the away team dropping by 41% from pre-match levels, reflecting their favored status despite Mainz having more shots. The recent phase shows Bayern pressing hard, but Mainz remains more active than in their last encounter. Historical data for similar situations is limited and thus weak, although the away handicap +1.5 has been profitable in a small sample. The model identifies a promising bet on Bayern +1.5 AH with good edge and expected value, but entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Risk control suggests monitoring the match closely before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388583 | minute: 79