Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	18	8	10	2	-	1.75	3.3	2.75	2.5	1.16
Away	4	0	0	11	6	5	4	-	5.25	1.55	1.43	1.32	2.12

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
251	13	1.04	1.83	1.2	1.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.4% | EV +92.3% | ROI +112.5% | n=2 | k=2.12

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +15.2% | EV +79.7% | ROI -100.0% | n=2 | k=5.25

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.0% | EV +19.9% | ROI +32.5% | n=2 | k=1.32

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.5% | ROI -50.0% | n=2 | k=1.55

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Mainz leading 3:4 against Bayern Munich, the market shows no clear signal and odds have not dropped significantly from pre-match levels. Although Bayern Munich are favorites, Mainz have had more shots and have been more active, especially compared to previous encounters. The model identifies a strong edge on Bayern Munich +1.5 Asian Handicap with an expected value of +92.3%, but the betting window for this market closed after the 86th minute. Historical data is limited and does not fully support the bet. Currently, this is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, emphasizing careful risk management given the match dynamics and market conditions.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388583 | minute: 90