Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.62	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	2.25	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	4	1.73	2	1.22	1.22	1.02	17	1.14	5.5	1.5	2.62	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +6.8% | EV +27.1% | ROI +64.1% | n=78 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +6.4% | EV +12.8% | ROI +25.6% | n=78 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.1% | EV +5.1% | ROI +14.9% | n=78 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -1.5% | ROI +3.8% | n=78 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 13 minutes into the Mainz vs Bayern Munich match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting an even game tempo. Historical data from 78 similar matches shows a 41% probability for a home win with a strong ROI of 64.1%, and the model suggests a home win with an edge of +6.8% and EV of +27.1%. However, the entry conditions for placing a bet are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. The top markets recommend monitoring the home win and double chance (home or draw) options as potential bets, but this remains a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry. No bet is advised on over 2.5 goals given negative expected value and edge.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388583 | minute: 13