Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	1	-	2.3	1.82	1.65	-	-
Away	1	0	0	4	1	3	0	-	-	-	2.2	2.02	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	3.6	3	1.36	1.25	1.61	-	-	1.04	13	1.22	4.33	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.2% | EV +65.3% | ROI +82.9% | n=140 | k=2.02

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +18.5% | EV +55.4% | ROI +71.4% | n=140 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +20.5% | EV +32.8% | ROI +50.9% | n=140 | k=1.60

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.7% | EV +22.1% | ROI +39.6% | n=140 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the match, Werder Bremen leads Stuttgart 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away side, reflected by a 45% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and shot advantage for Bremen. Historical data strongly supports the away handicap +1 with a 93.8% win rate and an 82.9% ROI over 140 matches, confirming a fair value bet. However, the model has not triggered a bet entry due to current match conditions not meeting expert criteria, making this a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. The top markets also suggest monitoring the away handicap +1, away win, and double chance on the away team, all showing positive expected value but requiring cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 23