Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	2	5	5	-	2.3	1.82	2	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	-	-	1.85	2.02	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	3.25	2.6	1.44	1.33	1.4	-	-	1.1	7	1.53	2.5	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +38.2% | EV +77.4% | ROI +78.3% | n=126 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +26.0% | EV +41.5% | ROI +48.6% | n=126 | k=1.60

3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +18.1% | EV +47.1% | ROI +48.6% | n=126 | k=2.60

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.1% | EV +14.1% | ROI +16.7% | n=126 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 44 minutes, Werder Bremen leads Stuttgart 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away side, reflected by a 53% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not confirm dominance by either team. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side, and while Bremen is more active than in their last meeting, Stuttgart is underperforming. Historical data strongly supports an Asian Handicap +1 for Bremen with a 92.1% win rate and 78.3% ROI over 126 matches. The model identifies a +38.2% edge and +77.4% expected value on this bet at odds of 2.02, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met yet. Top-4 markets suggest watching the Asian Handicap +1 as the best option, emphasizing this is a monitoring phase rather than a firm bet recommendation due to the current match dynamics and risk control considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 44