Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	2	8	6	-	2.3	1.82	2.12	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	2	-	-	-	1.75	2.02	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3	3.2	2.4	1.5	1.33	1.36	-	-	1.12	6	1.62	2.25	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.1% | EV +81.1% | ROI +80.4% | n=106 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.6% | EV +44.2% | ROI +50.9% | n=106 | k=1.60

3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +17.5% | EV +42.1% | ROI +31.3% | n=106 | k=2.40

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.3% | EV +14.0% | ROI +14.4% | n=106 | k=1.36

AI-agent: At the 50th minute, Werder Bremen leads Stuttgart 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping 56% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot data and recent play show no clear dominance by either team, and the tempo is balanced. Historical data supports a strong positive expectation for the away handicap +1, with a 93.7% win rate and an 80.4% ROI over 106 similar matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best opportunity with a 40.1% edge and 81.1% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not yet met, so no bet is advised. The top markets suggest watching this handicap and related options rather than placing a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk management in this monitoring phase.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 50