Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	14	3	11	8	-	2.3	3.9	1.21	1.19	-
Away	1	0	0	7	2	5	2	-	-	4.5	4.25	1.24	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.05	2.2	8	1.08	1.61	1.67	-	-	-	-	1.45	2.67	3.1	1.35

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.8% | EV +44.5% | ROI +45.3% | n=87 | k=1.60

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.0% | EV +15.0% | ROI +32.1% | n=87 | k=1.67

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -4.0% | ROI +23.0% | n=87 | k=2.67

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -3.3% | ROI -0.7% | n=87 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At the 69th minute with the score tied 1-1, the market strongly supports a draw, reflected by a 51% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Stuttgart, the pre-match favorite, maintains pressure and shot dominance, showing more activity despite the level score. Historical data for similar situations favors the away team with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 90.8% win rate and a solid ROI of 45.3%. The best model suggestion is a +1.5 handicap on Werder Bremen at 1.60 odds, with a 27.8% edge and 44.5% expected value. However, the entry conditions are not fully met yet based on current score, tempo, and match stats, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. The top markets confirm this cautious stance, recommending monitoring the +1.5 AH and double chance for the away side, while avoiding under goals bets due to negative expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 69