Match Replay

Step 59 of 76. Current minute: 74 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	15	3	12	9	-	2.3	1.82	1.23	1.19	-
Away	1	0	0	8	3	5	2	-	-	4.5	4.1	2.02	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	2.1	8	1.08	1.67	1.61	-	-	-	-	1.57	2.38	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +38.9% | EV +78.8% | ROI +78.6% | n=81 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.1% | EV +44.9% | ROI +50.1% | n=81 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.2% | EV +14.9% | ROI +33.6% | n=81 | k=1.61

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.6% | ROI +31.9% | n=81 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 74 minutes with the score tied 1-1, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 53% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly support either side, though the home team is applying more pressure recently. The match pace and score align closely with their previous meeting, where Bremen led 1-0 at this stage and won 4-0. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Bremen with a 93.1% win rate and 78.6% ROI over 81 matches. The model identifies a +1 AH on Bremen as the best option with a 38.9% edge and 78.8% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met due to current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching the +1 AH on Bremen as the most promising bet, while other options also show positive edges but no mandatory bets. This is a monitoring situation, advising caution and waiting for clearer entry signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 74