Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	15	3	12	11	-	2.3	1.82	1.27	1.19	-
Away	1	0	0	8	3	5	2	-	-	4.5	3.55	2.02	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.62	1.8	8	1.08	1.91	1.44	-	-	-	-	1.85	2	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.9% | EV +80.8% | ROI +88.3% | n=86 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.3% | EV +45.3% | ROI +56.3% | n=86 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.3% | EV +10.6% | ROI +27.6% | n=86 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.3% | ROI +34.9% | n=86 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At the 80th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, the market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 60% from pre-match levels reflecting this balance. Shot statistics do not show clear dominance by either side, and recent play lacks sustained pressure from one team. Historical data for similar situations supports an away handicap +1 bet with a high success rate (97.4%) and excellent ROI (88.3%), but the current model advises caution as entry conditions based on score, tempo, and match stats are not fully met. The top recommended bets are on the away handicap +1 and +1.5 with significant edges and expected value, yet these are watch signals rather than mandatory bets, emphasizing risk management in this balanced game. Under 2.5 goals is not advised due to negative expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 80