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Germany | Bundesliga | Stuttgart - Werder Bremen | 26.04.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 76'   —   Stuttgart 1:1 Werder Bremen
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 15 3 12 9 - 2.3 1.82 1.23 1.19 -
Away 1 0 0 8 3 5 2 - - 4.5 4 2.02 1.6
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.3 1.95 8 1.08 1.73 1.53 - - - - 1.67 2.2 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.3% | EV +79.6% | ROI +80.7% | n=84 | k=2.02
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.2% | EV +45.1% | ROI +50.5% | n=84 | k=1.60
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.8% | EV +12.0% | ROI +29.6% | n=84 | k=1.53
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -3.4% | ROI +33.6% | n=84 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At 76 minutes with the score tied at 1-1, the market increasingly favors a draw, reflected by a 57% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, though the home team is applying more pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports an away handicap +1 bet with a 93.4% win rate and an 80.7% ROI, but the model's entry conditions are not fully met given the current match tempo and score dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching the away +1 handicap with a significant edge and expected value, but no firm bet is advised yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory stake, so caution is recommended.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388585 | minute: 76