Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.85	1.62	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.25	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	3.6	3	1.36	1.25	1.61	1.04	13	1.22	4.33	1.73	2.1	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +7.0% | EV +21.0% | ROI +8.9% | n=537 | k=3.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.4% | EV +3.9% | ROI +5.6% | n=537 | k=1.61

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.9% | EV +8.3% | ROI +9.2% | n=537 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -1.6% | n=537 | k=1.44

AI-agent: At 10 minutes into the Wolfsburg vs M'gladbach match, the market shows clear pressure favoring the away side, with odds dropping 9% from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not confirm dominance by either team, and the game tempo is slower than their last meeting, which ended 1:3. Historical data from 537 similar matches supports a 36.3% probability of an away win with a positive ROI of 8.9%, and the fair odds are around 2.75. The model identifies an edge of +7.0% and an expected value of +21.0% on an away win at odds of 3.00, but the entry conditions are not yet met given the current score and match dynamics. The top recommended markets suggest watching the away win and related bets rather than placing a firm wager now, emphasizing risk control and ongoing monitoring rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388586 | minute: 10