Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	12	3	9	4	-	2.3	1.68	1.6	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	0	-	-	-	2.3	2.15	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.4	4.75	7.5	1.08	1.17	2.75	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.0% | EV +8.5% | ROI -23.9% | n=19 | k=2.15

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.6% | ROI -7.4% | n=19 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.5% | EV +4.1% | ROI -56.6% | n=19 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.0% | ROI +5.2% | n=19 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Leverkusen leads RB Leipzig 1-0 in a closely contested Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 48% from pre-match levels, reflecting their recent dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data for the away handicap +1 is weak and below the minimum sample size, showing a negative ROI despite some edge. The model identifies a potential value bet on AH_AWAY+1 at 2.15 odds with a moderate edge, but entry conditions are not fully met given the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring AH_AWAY+1 and related handicaps rather than placing a firm bet now, emphasizing cautious risk management in this situation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388587 | minute: 45