Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	14	4	10	5	-	2.3	1.68	1.6	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	0	-	-	-	2.3	2.15	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.09	10	21	1.01	1.06	7	-	-	-	-	1.1	7	1.48	2.6

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +17.0% | EV +39.0% | ROI -3.2% | n=19 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.2% | EV +25.4% | ROI +12.6% | n=19 | k=1.68

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.6% | ROI +5.2% | n=19 | k=2.60

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -22.9% | EV -36.7% | ROI -7.4% | n=19 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Leverkusen leads RB Leipzig 2-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors the home side, reflecting their recent pressure and shot dominance. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Leverkusen is limited and does not fully confirm the model's positive edge and expected value. Although the model signals a potential bet on Leverkusen -1 with good EV, the historical check is weak, so no new bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation where the home side's momentum is clear, but risk control suggests waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388587 | minute: 45