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Match Replay

Step 55 of 61. Current minute: 85 .
Germany | Bundesliga | Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 02.05.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 85'   —   Leverkusen 3:1 RB Leipzig
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 22 7 15 7 - 1.16 1.68 1.6 - -
Away 1 0 0 14 5 9 3 - - - 2.3 2.15 5.25
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.01 26 101 1.33 1.01 26 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.1% | EV +40.4% | ROI +54.0% | n=5 | k=1.68
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +15.1% | EV +20.1% | ROI +33.3% | n=5 | k=1.33
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.4% | EV -7.3% | ROI +5.0% | n=5 | k=5.25
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -30.3% | EV -65.2% | ROI -80.0% | n=5 | k=2.15
AI-agent: At the 85th minute, Leverkusen leads RB Leipzig 3-1 in a Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping significantly since pre-match, reflecting their stronger shot activity and current advantage. Although the match has been close, Leverkusen shows more attacking intent compared to their last meeting, where they were behind at this stage. Historical data on similar handicap bets is limited and does not fully confirm the model's signal, which suggests a home -1 handicap with positive expected value and edge. Given this, the best approach is to watch the AH_HOME-1 and DC1X markets closely rather than place a new bet now, managing risk carefully in this late stage of the game.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388587 | minute: 85