Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	2.67	1.52	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.42	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2	4	3.25	1.33	1.22	1.73	1.02	19	1.14	5.5	1.44	2.75	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.5% | EV +18.0% | ROI +20.9% | n=86 | k=3.25

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.6% | EV +2.7% | ROI +0.4% | n=86 | k=1.73

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.8% | EV +4.0% | ROI +0.6% | n=86 | k=1.45

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -2.9% | ROI -21.7% | n=86 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 10 minutes into the Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is evident but without a strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shots data do not clearly favor either side, though the hosts have shown more activity recently. Historical data from 86 similar matches supports an away win with a 37.2% probability and a positive ROI of 20.9%. The model favors an RB Leipzig win with an edge of +5.5% and expected value of +18.0%, but this edge is slightly below the minimum threshold to place a bet. Top-4 market indicators suggest watching the away win option with caution, as this is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet. Risk control is advised given the current market and model signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388587 | minute: 10