Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	1	-	-	2.75	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	2.38	1.43	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.05	4	3.2	1.33	1.22	1.67	1.02	17	1.17	5	1.53	2.5	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.8% | EV +18.5% | ROI +19.0% | n=78 | k=3.20

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -1.7% | n=78 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.4% | EV +6.3% | ROI +0.7% | n=78 | k=1.42

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.1% | EV -6.3% | ROI +6.1% | n=78 | k=1.53

AI-agent: At 13 minutes into the Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. Historically, away wins occur in similar situations with a 37.2% probability and a positive ROI of 19%, supported by a solid sample of 78 matches. The model favors an away win with an edge of +5.8% and EV of +18.5%, but this edge is just below the minimum threshold to open a bet. Top-4 markets suggest watching the away win option carefully while avoiding over 2.5 goals due to negative expected value. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and waiting for stronger confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388587 | minute: 13