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Germany | Bundesliga | Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 02.05.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 35'   —   Leverkusen 1:0 RB Leipzig
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 12 3 9 3 - 2.1 1.6 1.6 - -
Away 0 0 0 4 2 2 0 - - - 2.3 2.3 1.7
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.36 5 7.5 1.08 1.17 3 - - 1.05 11 1.25 4 1.82 2.02
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.7% | EV +8.6% | ROI -11.9% | n=21 | k=2.30
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.2% | EV +9.7% | ROI -28.6% | n=21 | k=3.00
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -2.9% | n=21 | k=1.70
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.3% | ROI -3.6% | n=21 | k=2.02
AI-agent: At 35 minutes into the Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig match, Leverkusen leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels, matching their stronger shot activity and recent dominance. Historical data for the away handicap +1 is weak and incomplete, with a negative ROI and insufficient sample size. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best option with a positive edge and expected value, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation where the home team shows momentum, but caution is warranted due to historical uncertainty and model rules.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388587 | minute: 35