Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	3	5	1	-	-	-	2.2	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	2.5	1.65	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.5	2.5	2.6	1.44	1.5	1.28	1.25	4	2.2	1.65	5	1.17	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.5% | EV +36.8% | ROI +27.4% | n=144 | k=1.50

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +7.2% | EV +25.0% | ROI +2.1% | n=144 | k=3.50

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.7% | EV +2.5% | ROI +7.3% | n=144 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -5.9% | ROI +2.0% | n=144 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 56th minute with a 0-0 score, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. The game remains balanced, but Borussia M'gladbach is more active in shots and overall play, surpassing their previous head-to-head performance, while Dortmund is below their usual level. Historical data supports a home handicap +1 bet with an 88.4% win rate and a 27.4% ROI, and the model shows a +24.5% edge and +36.8% expected value on this bet. However, the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. The top-4 markets also suggest monitoring the home handicap +1 as the best option, with other bets showing less edge and no recommendation to bet on under 1.5 goals. Caution and risk control are advised given the current match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388589 | minute: 56