Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	3	5	1	-	-	-	2.2	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	2.5	1.7	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.5	2.4	2.75	1.4	1.5	1.28	1.3	3.5	2.38	1.55	5.5	1.14	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.8% | EV +37.1% | ROI +28.1% | n=139 | k=1.50

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +7.2% | EV +25.2% | ROI -1.8% | n=139 | k=3.50

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.5% | ROI +4.7% | n=139 | k=1.40

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.1% | EV -6.4% | ROI -4.1% | n=139 | k=1.55

AI-agent: At the 59th minute with a 0-0 score, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 38% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. The game has been balanced, but the home side is more active in shots and tempo, outperforming their previous meeting while Dortmund is below their usual level. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for the home team with an 88.9% win rate and a 28.1% ROI, confirming a solid edge. Although the model identifies AH_HOME+1 as the best bet with a 24.8% edge and 37.1% expected value, the entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation, not a mandatory entry, with risk control in place to avoid premature exposure.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388589 | minute: 59