Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.52	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.42	1.4	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	3.75	1.83	1.83	1.25	1.22	1.03	15	1.17	5	1.57	2.38	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +7.6% | EV +30.3% | ROI +40.3% | n=633 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.5% | EV +4.6% | ROI +17.0% | n=633 | k=1.83

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.2% | EV +4.9% | ROI +14.5% | n=633 | k=1.52

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.2% | ROI +3.7% | n=633 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 6 minutes into the match between M'gladbach and Dortmund, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, and shot data does not favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter on 19.12.2025, which ended 2-0 to M'gladbach. Historical data from 633 similar matches shows a 35.1% probability and a 40.3% ROI for a home win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.85. The model identifies a potential value bet on the home win at odds of 4.00 with an edge of +7.6% and expected value of +30.3%, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met. The top markets suggest watching the home win and related bets, indicating a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388589 | minute: 6