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Germany | Bundesliga | M'gladbach - Dortmund | 03.05.2026 | 20:30:00 | LIVE 79'   —   M'gladbach 0:0 Dortmund
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 8 3 5 1 - - - 2.15 1.5 -
Away 0 0 0 3 1 2 1 - - 2.5 1.73 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5 1.61 4 1.22 2.2 1.17 2.15 1.73 9 1.07 1.53 2.5 2.3 1.61
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +47.8% | EV +119.4% | ROI +97.2% | n=90 | k=2.50
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +30.1% | EV +48.6% | ROI +41.8% | n=90 | k=1.61
3) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +24.4% | EV +52.4% | ROI +12.3% | n=90 | k=2.15
4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.9% | EV +38.9% | ROI +31.7% | n=90 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At 79 minutes, the score remains 0-0 in a balanced match where the market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 59% from pre-match levels. The home side has been more active in shots and overall play, but recent pressure has evened out. Historical data supports under 2.5 goals with a 78.9% win rate and a strong ROI of 97.2%, confirming the value of this market. Although the model identifies under 2.5 goals as the best opportunity with a 47.8% edge and 119.4% expected value, the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Monitoring is advised to manage risk effectively.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388589 | minute: 79