Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	2.75	1.52	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	2.42	1.43	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	3.25	3.5	1.28	1.33	1.67	1.07	9	1.33	3.4	2.05	1.75	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +7.5% | EV +26.3% | ROI +24.2% | n=417 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.3% | EV +17.5% | ROI +12.5% | n=417 | k=1.42

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.5% | ROI +10.3% | n=417 | k=1.67

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +6.8% | ROI +1.9% | n=417 | k=3.40

AI-agent: At 19 minutes into the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring a draw, with odds dropping 10% from pre-match levels. Wolfsburg shows more activity in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, though both teams are playing slower than in their last encounter on 20.12.2025, which ended 3-4. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Wolfsburg with an 80.9% win rate and 12.5% ROI over 417 matches, confirming a solid edge. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 as the best candidate with a 12.3% edge and 17.5% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met given the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching this opportunity rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring for a better entry point.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388591 | minute: 19