Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	1	3	0	-	-	2.75	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	0	-	-	-	2.38	1.43	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.3	2.88	3.6	1.25	1.36	1.53	1.14	5.5	1.62	2.25	3	1.4	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +7.7% | EV +27.8% | ROI +16.3% | n=263 | k=3.60

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.8% | EV +21.0% | ROI +14.4% | n=263 | k=1.42

3) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +2.9% | ROI -4.2% | n=263 | k=2.25

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.1% | ROI -5.2% | n=263 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 35 minutes in a goalless match between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, the market shows strong support for a draw with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. Shot data does not strongly favor either side, though the hosts have applied more pressure recently. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 3:4 with Wolfsburg leading 1:0 at this stage. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Wolfsburg with an 82.6% win rate and a 14.4% ROI over 263 matches, confirming a fair value around 1.21. The model identifies a +1 handicap on Wolfsburg as the best option with a 14.8% edge and 21.0% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to current score, tempo, and match stats. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away team and the +1 handicap with positive edges and EV, but no mandatory bet is recommended now. This is a monitoring phase with potential upside if conditions improve, so risk control is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388591 | minute: 35