Match Replay

Step 48 of 55. Current minute: 82 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	2	5	0	-	-	2.75	1.57	1.45	-
Away	1	0	0	13	4	9	3	-	-	2.67	2.45	1.43	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	1.53	6	1.12	2.38	1.22	-	-	-	-	2.35	1.62	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.9% | EV +37.5% | ROI +33.8% | n=91 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.6% | EV +35.0% | ROI +35.2% | n=91 | k=1.42

3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.7% | EV +34.0% | ROI +5.5% | n=91 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +3.5% | ROI +14.3% | n=91 | k=1.62

AI-agent: At the 82nd minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 60% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game remains balanced, though Wolfsburg shows more activity in shots, while neither side maintains sustained pressure recently. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Freiburg with a 96.2% win rate and a 33.8% ROI over 91 matches, indicating value. The model suggests this bet with a 25.9% edge and 37.5% expected value, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Monitoring is advised, considering the balanced tempo and the risk management perspective.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388591 | minute: 82