Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2.42	1.98	1.65	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.2	1.88	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.57	4.5	5	1.17	1.18	2.25	-	-	1.02	17	1.17	5	1.55	2.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +3.0% | EV +14.9% | ROI -6.2% | n=16 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.4% | ROI -16.4% | n=16 | k=1.88

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.8% | ROI -29.7% | n=16 | k=2.25

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.3% | ROI -25.8% | n=16 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 13 minutes, Hoffenheim leads 1-0 against Stuttgart, but the market shows increased confidence in the away side with odds dropping 27% from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, shot data does not confirm clear dominance by either team, and recent play lacks sustained pressure. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which ended 0-0 in December 2025. Historical data for similar situations is limited and weak, showing a slight edge for an away win but with negative ROI and insufficient sample size. The model identifies an away win as the best candidate with a moderate edge of +3.0% and EV of +14.9%, yet this does not meet the minimum threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 market signals suggest monitoring the away win and related handicaps, but no strong bet is recommended now. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry, emphasizing caution and risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388592 | minute: 13