Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	2.42	1.9	1.65	-	-
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	0	-	-	-	2.2	1.95	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	4.33	5.5	1.14	1.2	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.05	11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.0% | EV +7.4% | ROI +150.0% | n=3 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.4% | EV +6.7% | ROI +95.0% | n=3 | k=1.95

3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +2.4% | EV +13.3% | ROI +83.3% | n=3 | k=5.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.1% | EV -1.7% | ROI +52.5% | n=3 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the match, Hoffenheim leads 2-1 against Stuttgart, with no red cards shown. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 30% drop in odds from pre-match levels, yet shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. The tempo is balanced without sustained pressure from one side, and while Hoffenheim leads, the game lacks a clear advantage in play. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support under 3.5 goals, with a small sample size and negative ROI. The model suggests a potential value bet on under 3.5 goals with an attractive edge and expected value, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met, so no bet is advised. Top-4 markets indicate a watch status with moderate edges and expected values, signaling a monitoring phase rather than a strong betting opportunity. Caution is recommended given the current dynamics and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388592 | minute: 30