Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	4	12	4	-	2.35	1.38	1.65	-	-
Away	2	0	0	8	3	5	1	-	-	-	2.2	3	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.17	6	26	1.01	1.12	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.6% | EV +34.9% | ROI +40.0% | n=5 | k=3.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.2% | EV +31.0% | ROI +100.0% | n=5 | k=5.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.5% | EV +7.0% | ROI -5.5% | n=5 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -0.4% | EV -2.6% | ROI +140.0% | n=5 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At the 71st minute with Hoffenheim leading 3-2, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 46% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Hoffenheim has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the latest phase, matching the current scoreline. Historical data for similar handicap bets on Stuttgart (+1.5) is limited and inconclusive, with only 5 matches and a failed historical check. The model signals a potential value on Stuttgart +1.5 at 1.57 odds with a modest edge and expected value, but the entry is not confirmed due to weak historical support. Top-4 markets suggest watching handicap bets on Stuttgart +1 or double chance for Stuttgart, both showing positive edges but no strong call to bet yet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, and caution is advised given the limited sample and current match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388592 | minute: 71