Match Replay

Step 31 of 72. Current minute: 39 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 31 of 72 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	2.75
Away	2	0	0	8	2	6	5	-	1.43	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
26	10	1.07	9	1.06	1.01	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.1% | EV +62.3% | ROI -8.9% | n=470 | k=2.00

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.5% | ROI -5.1% | n=470 | k=1.82

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.6% | ROI -3.5% | n=470 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -7.6% | ROI -9.0% | n=470 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At 39 minutes, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in a match where the market strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 57% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Mainz has been more active in shots and pressure recently, aligning with the scoreline. Historical data for similar situations shows a negative ROI of -8.9%, so despite a model edge of +31.1% and expected value of +62.3% on the -1 handicap for Mainz, the historical check is weak and no bet is recommended now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry opportunity, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 39