Match Replay

Step 37 of 72. Current minute: 46 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	2.75
Away	2	0	0	9	3	6	5	-	1.43	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
29	11	1.06	10	1.05	1.01	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.3	1.6

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.0% | EV +64.1% | ROI +51.7% | n=172 | k=2.00

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -4.3% | ROI -11.6% | n=172 | k=1.60

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.1% | EV -3.1% | ROI -12.1% | n=172 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -7.9% | ROI -2.3% | n=172 | k=3.50

AI-agent: At the 46th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 with no red cards issued. Market trends strongly favor Mainz, with odds dropping 58% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance and shot activity. Historical data supports a bet on Mainz with a -1 handicap, showing an 80.7% win rate and a 51.7% ROI over 172 matches. The model confirms a strong edge (+32%) and expected value (+64.1%) for this bet at odds of 2.00. However, no new bet is recommended now as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. This is a favorable situation to monitor or maintain existing exposure, with risk control advised given the match context and confirmed statistical advantage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 46