Match Replay

Step 39 of 72. Current minute: 49 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	3
Away	2	0	0	9	3	6	5	-	1.38	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
34	11	1.05	10	1.05	1	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.38	1.55

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.5% | EV +65.0% | ROI +55.2% | n=172 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.6% | ROI -5.8% | n=172 | k=3.00

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -5.0% | ROI -9.0% | n=172 | k=1.55

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -7.9% | ROI +5.8% | n=172 | k=3.50

AI-agent: At the 49th minute in the Bundesliga match between St Pauli and Mainz, Mainz leads 2-0 and the market strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 58% from pre-match levels reflecting their current advantage. The game has been fairly balanced but Mainz has been more active in shots and pressure, especially recently. Historical data supports a bet on Mainz with a -1 handicap, showing an 83.7% win rate and a strong ROI of 55.2%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +32.5% and expected value of +65.0%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already held or covered. This is the best betting opportunity currently, but as always, risk management is advised. Other markets like home +1.5 handicap are under watch, while under goals markets are not recommended now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 49