Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	3.1
Away	2	0	0	10	4	6	5	-	1.35	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
34	12	1.05	11	1.04	1	-	-	-	-	1.35	3.1	2.6	1.48

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.2% | EV +66.5% | ROI +59.8% | n=174 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.1% | ROI -9.1% | n=174 | k=3.10

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -8.5% | ROI +3.3% | n=174 | k=3.10

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.2% | EV -4.7% | ROI -7.6% | n=174 | k=1.48

AI-agent: At the 52nd minute in the Bundesliga match between St Pauli and Mainz, the score is 0-2 favoring Mainz. Market pressure strongly supports the away side, with odds dropping by 58% from pre-match levels, reflecting Mainz's active play and dominance in shots. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for Mainz with a -1 handicap, boasting an 86.6% win rate and a 59.8% ROI, confirming the model's confidence. The best betting opportunity is on Mainz with a -1 handicap at odds of 2.00, offering a significant expected value and edge, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a favorable but controlled situation to consider for those monitoring the match dynamics and betting value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 52