Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	3.3
Away	2	0	0	12	5	7	5	-	1.32	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	13	1.04	13	1.04	1	-	-	-	-	1.38	3	2.75	1.43

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.0% | EV +68.0% | ROI +59.8% | n=184 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.9% | EV +3.0% | ROI -4.9% | n=184 | k=3.30

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -8.3% | ROI +4.3% | n=184 | k=3.00

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -5.1% | ROI -7.1% | n=184 | k=1.42

AI-agent: At the 55th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in a Bundesliga match. Market pressure strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 58% from pre-match levels, reflecting Mainz's active play and dominance in shots. Historical data supports a bet on Mainz with a -1 handicap, showing an 86.2% win rate and a high ROI of 59.8%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +34% and expected value of +68%, although no new bet is advised as the position is already covered. This is the best betting opportunity currently, but risk should be managed carefully. Other markets are less favorable or only warrant monitoring, so this remains a selective entry rather than a mandatory one.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 55