Match Replay

Step 61 of 72. Current minute: 81 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	1	6	7	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	4.4
Away	2	0	0	16	6	10	6	-	1.2	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
81	21	1.01	21	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.1	1.77	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.7% | EV +71.4% | ROI +89.7% | n=165 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.5% | EV +6.6% | ROI -60.0% | n=165 | k=4.40

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -5.6% | ROI +24.8% | n=165 | k=1.77

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.7% | ROI -37.6% | n=165 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At the 81st minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in this Bundesliga match. Market pressure strongly favors Mainz, with odds dropping 59% from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance in shots and overall play despite recent pressure from St Pauli. Historical data for similar situations shows a very high success rate (98.7%) and excellent ROI (89.7%) for betting on Mainz with a -1 handicap. The model confirms this with a significant edge (+35.7%) and expected value (+71.4%), though no new bet is opened as the position is already active or covered. The top recommended bet is Mainz -1 handicap, but this remains a monitored opportunity rather than a mandatory entry, considering risk management and current match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 81