Match Replay

Step 63 of 72. Current minute: 84 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	1	6	7	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	5.9
Away	2	0	0	16	6	10	6	-	1.13	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
101	29	1.01	29	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.45	1.57	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.9% | EV +71.7% | ROI +92.6% | n=162 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.3% | EV +42.9% | ROI -56.3% | n=162 | k=5.90

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -5.6% | ROI +21.5% | n=162 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.8% | ROI -44.0% | n=162 | k=2.45

AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in a match where the market strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 60% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. The game has been fairly balanced, but Mainz has been more active in shots, while St Pauli is pressing hard in the final phase. Historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap on Mainz with a 100% win rate in 162 similar matches and an excellent ROI of 92.6%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +35.9% and expected value of +71.7%, though no new bet is opened since the position is already held or covered. The top recommended bet is the -1 handicap on Mainz, but given the current position, this is more a confirmation than a new entry. Other markets suggest monitoring only, not mandatory bets. Overall, this is a strong candidate for backing Mainz with risk control in place.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 84