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Match Replay

Step 67 of 72. Current minute: 87 .
Germany | Bundesliga | St Pauli - Mainz | 03.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 87'   —   St Pauli 1:2 Mainz
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 8 2 6 7 - - - 2.05 2.3 1.1
Away 2 0 0 16 6 10 6 - 6.8 1.65 1.8 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
126 10 1.06 1.5 1.33 1.36 - - - - - - 4 1.24
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +18.9% | EV +25.8% | ROI +36.3% | n=158 | k=1.36
2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +18.1% | EV +24.1% | ROI +33.3% | n=158 | k=1.33
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.7% | EV +8.5% | ROI -94.9% | n=158 | k=2.30
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -7.8% | EV -12.8% | ROI +94.9% | n=158 | k=1.65
AI-agent: At the 87th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-1 in a closely contested Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds for a draw or Mainz win (X2) dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and game dynamics. Historical data strongly supports the X2 outcome, showing a 100% success rate in 158 similar cases with a solid ROI of 36.3%. Despite this, the optimal betting window for X2 has just closed after the 86th minute, so no new bets are advised now. The match tempo has intensified, especially with St Pauli pressing hard in the final minutes, but the statistical edge remains with Mainz or a draw. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet entry, with risk control recommended given the late stage of the game.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 87