Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	3	7	7	-	-	-	2.05	2.25	1.1
Away	2	0	0	17	6	11	7	-	6.8	1.68	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.88	3.25	2.5	1.5	1.33	1.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +47.9% | EV +119.7% | ROI +124.7% | n=198 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +19.4% | EV +26.5% | ROI +35.6% | n=198 | k=1.36

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +20.1% | EV +26.8% | ROI +20.5% | n=198 | k=1.33

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.2% | ROI +5.6% | n=198 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-1 in a closely contested Bundesliga match. The market shows no strong signals or significant odds drops from pre-match levels, reflecting the balanced nature of the game, although Mainz has been more active in shots. The home side is pressing hard in the final moments, matching the scoreline's reflection of the match flow. Historical data strongly favors an away win with an 89.9% probability and a high ROI, but the betting window for this outcome closed after the 86th minute. Current top markets suggest watching the away win and double chance options, as no new bets are recommended now due to timing and risk control considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 90