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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	3
Away	2	0	0	9	3	6	5	-	1.38	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
34	12	1.05	11	1.04	1	-	-	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.42	1.52

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +66.1% | ROI +56.7% | n=171 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -7.0% | n=171 | k=3.00

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -7.0% | ROI +9.4% | n=171 | k=3.40

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -5.2% | ROI -8.1% | n=171 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At the 51st minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0, with the market strongly favoring the away side as their odds have dropped by 58% since pre-match, reflecting the current scoreline. Mainz has been more active in shots and overall pressure, especially in this recent phase, while St Pauli is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Mainz with an 84.9% win rate and a solid ROI of 56.7%, confirming a strong edge and expected value. The model confirms this bet at odds of 2.00 with a 33.1% edge and 66.1% expected value, though no new bet is opened since the position is already covered. This is a clear betting opportunity on Mainz -1, but as always, risk management should be applied given the live match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 51