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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	3	-	-	-	2.05	1.68	1.45
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	2.67	2.15	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5.5	4	1.61	2.2	1.22	1.14	-	-	1.07	9	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.6% | ROI +22.7% | n=2452 | k=1.45

2) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.3% | ROI +90.4% | n=2452 | k=5.50

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.4% | EV -7.1% | ROI +70.8% | n=2452 | k=3.00

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.8% | ROI +29.6% | n=2452 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At 6 minutes into the match, Mainz leads St Pauli 1-0 with no red cards shown. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping 35% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Although shot data does not clearly favor either side, the recent phase shows St Pauli pressing more. Historical data supports a bet on St Pauli with a +1.5 handicap, showing an 84.6% win rate and a 22.7% ROI over 2452 matches. The model suggests this bet with a slight edge and positive expected value, but the EV is below the threshold for opening a position. Top-4 markets recommend watching the +1.5 handicap bet rather than placing a firm wager now, indicating a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry. Given the balanced tempo and limited historical confirmation, cautious observation is advised before committing to a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 6