Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.02	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.82	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.88	3.1	2.6	1.44	1.33	1.36	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.25	1.62	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +3.1% | EV +9.3% | ROI -0.7% | n=1797 | k=3.00

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +2.7% | ROI +1.4% | n=1797 | k=1.62

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.5% | EV +1.5% | ROI -7.0% | n=1797 | k=2.88

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.1% | ROI -7.8% | n=1797 | k=2.60

AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the Union Berlin vs FC Koln match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, reflected by a 9% drop in odds from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace than their last encounter on December 20, 2025, which also stood 0-0 at this stage and ended 0-1. Historical data for under 1.5 goals shows a low ROI and fails the confidence check. The model identifies under 1.5 goals as the best candidate with a positive edge and expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met, so no bet is advised. The top-4 markets suggest monitoring under 1.5 and under 2.5 goals and a home win, but these are watch situations rather than mandatory bets, emphasizing risk control in this balanced game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 17