Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	-	2.05	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	-	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.88	3	2.6	1.44	1.36	1.36	1.11	6.5	1.48	2.6	2.42	1.52	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.2% | ROI +1.2% | n=1542 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +6.7% | ROI -4.1% | n=1542 | k=2.60

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.6% | ROI -6.4% | n=1542 | k=2.88

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.0% | ROI -11.1% | n=1542 | k=2.60

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Union Berlin vs FC Koln match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 12% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which also stood 0-0 at this stage and ended 0-1. Historical data for under 1.5 goals shows a moderate positive probability but a negative ROI, indicating weak reliability. The model suggests under 1.5 goals with an edge of +2.6% and EV +6.7%, yet this does not meet the minimum threshold for a bet. Top-4 market signals recommend watching under 2.5 and under 1.5 goals, reflecting a cautious approach rather than a firm betting opportunity. Overall, this is a monitoring situation with no clear entry signal yet, emphasizing risk control given the balanced game and uncertain historical support.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388594 | minute: 23